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Adam Millsap: The Affordable Care Act Has Not Been Affordable For Taxpayers
Posted: March 22, 2024 at 09:22 AM (Friday)

The Affordable Care Act (ACA), better known as Obamacare, turns 14 this Saturday. Its proponents claimed the ACA would lower costs and make health care more affordable. But after 14 years the data tell a different story. Former President Barack Obama signed the ACA into law on March 23rd, 2010. His administration wanted to make health care ...


Adam Millsap and Tedford Tyler: How Trade Can Help the U.S. Beat China
Posted: March 3, 2024 at 06:30 AM (Sunday)

More trade will enhance American power in the Indo-Pacific. Trade has fallen out of favor on the right and the left. Donald Trump and Joe Biden support tariffs and buy America policies that emphasize domestic production and impede global trade. Trade hurts our economy, they claim, and it undermines national security. Big if true, but they ...


Adam Millsap: How States Can Help More People Find Meaningful Work
Posted: February 27, 2024 at 08:00 AM (Tuesday)

The January jobs report beat expectations and there are still more jobs available than unemployed people. While this is good news for workers, it makes hiring challenging for employers. Policy reforms that remove barriers to work will expand opportunities for workers and make it easier for employers to find the help they need. The most recent ...


Adam Millsap: California’s Loss Is Texas’s Gain
Posted: February 9, 2024 at 08:47 AM (Friday)

Texas's border situation is messy, but its economy remains strong and has been for years. Recently released data show that from 2010 to 2019 Texas led the nation in job gains from business relocations. Meanwhile, California led the nation in job losses from relocations. Texas's economic model of low taxes and modest regulation continues ...


Adam Millsap: It Is Time For Virginia To Enact Pro-Housing Reforms
Posted: January 23, 2024 at 12:47 PM (Tuesday)

The cost of housing in much of America is outrageous. The combination of land-use regulations that drive up construction costs and the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes have made housing less affordable than at any time over the past 33 years. Virginia is no exception; its housing prices are 48% higher than they were at the peak of ...


Adam Millsap: A Pro-Housing Agenda Can Help Republicans Win Over Young Voters Next November
Posted: November 20, 2023 at 09:41 AM (Monday)

The 2023 state elections were a disappointment for Republicans. In Virgina, Democrats took control of the House of Delegates after already controlling the senate. In Kentucky, Republicans hoped to retake the governor's mansion but incumbent Democratic governor Andy Beshears cruised to a second term. In 2024, 11 governor's mansions are up ...


Adam Millsap: New Hampshire Is Top State For Economic Freedom
Posted: November 14, 2023 at 10:07 AM (Tuesday)

New Hampshire ranks first in the most recent edition of the Fraser Institute's Economic Freedom of North America (EFNA) index. Florida and Tennessee round out the top three. More economic freedom is associated with more income growth and more population growth, so we should expect the economies of New Hampshire, Florida, and Tennessee to ...


Adam Millsap: New Jersey, New York Have The Worst Business Tax Climates In America
Posted: October 30, 2023 at 09:08 AM (Monday)

New Jersey and New York have the worst business tax climates in the country according to a new analysis from the Tax Foundation. These states have been here before: New Jersey has come in last since 2018, while New York has placed 49th since 2019. Both states are losing people to lower-tax states, so now is a great time for each to make ...


Adam Millsap: Florida Cities Hit Hardest By Inflation Over The Last Year, But Fed’s Effort To Provide Relief Creates New Problems
Posted: October 16, 2023 at 11:22 AM (Monday)

According to the latest Consumer Price Index report, inflation was 0.4% in September and 3.7% over the last year. Core inflation, which excludes food and energy, was up 4.1% over the last 12 months. While both rates are about double the Fed's 2% target, in some parts of the country inflation is even higher. The Fed is trying to slow ...


Adam Millsap: California’s Slow Collapse
Posted: October 6, 2023 at 10:09 AM (Friday)

California Governor Gavin Newsome has been popping up everywhere the last few months: Sean Hannity's show on Fox News, NBC's "Today" Show, and in Mississippi to promote his PAC. Now, he says he's traveling to China this month to talk about climate change. Everywhere he goes he claims the policies he champions in California are the path ...


Adam Millsap: Would Happen To Michigan’s Communities If Ford And GM Left?
Posted: September 28, 2023 at 11:49 AM (Thursday)

The United Auto Workers (UAW) has been striking for 14 days as its negotiations with the Big Three of Ford, General Motors (GM), and Stellantis drag on. There is speculation that these automakers may move some production out of Michigan to avoid future labor disruptions and lower their costs, especially if the UAW refuses to budge on ...


Adam Millsap: Not Enough People Are Moving To Where The Jobs Are
Posted: September 12, 2023 at 10:26 AM (Tuesday)

The U.S. labor market remains strong despite the Federal Reserve's efforts to slow the economy to bring down inflation. The national unemployment rate is near historic lows at 3.8% and there are still more job openings than unemployed persons. In some metropolitan (metro) areas, unemployment rates are below 2%. Yet despite the extremely ...


Adam Millsap: Biden Can Learn From The States—Industrial Policy Doesn’t Work
Posted: August 16, 2023 at 12:28 PM (Wednesday)

Industrial policy is all the rage. The Biden administration is infatuated with tax breaks, subsidies, and mandates meant to encourage–or coerce–firms to locate or expand operations in America. Biden's team is primarily selling these actions as a way to strengthen national security, particularly in relation to China. But they are also telling ...


Adam Millsap: New Study Finds St. Louis’s And Kansas City’s Earnings Taxes Reduce Employment And Population Growth
Posted: August 1, 2023 at 09:08 AM (Tuesday)

St. Louis and Kansas City are two of the Midwest's most well-known cities. Like many other Midwestern cities, both struggled in the latter half of the 20th century. Kansas City has grown faster than St. Louis since then, but a new study finds that both cities would have more employment and more people if they got rid of their ...


Adam Millsap: New Ranking Reveals Best And Worst States To Start An LLC
Posted: July 19, 2023 at 08:26 AM (Wednesday)

A good business climate encourages entrepreneurs to start new companies and can help states attract businesses looking to relocate. A new ranking from Venture Smarter ranks the 50 states and Washington, D.C. by how easy it is to start a limited liability company, or LLC. Wyoming, Florida, and South Dakota top the ranking, while California, ...


Adam Millsap: Biden’s Higher Taxes Would Kill The Golden Goose
Posted: April 19, 2023 at 09:26 AM (Wednesday)

Despite its problems, the U.S. economy outperforms those of other large countries. As The Economist recently noted, America's 2022 GDP of $25.5 trillion was 25% of the world's total output. GDP per person is much higher in America than in Western Europe or Japan, and the gap is growing. Unfortunately, the golden goose of economic growth ...


Adam Millsap: Ohio May Become Latest State To Improve Its Tax Code And Biden Administration Should Take Note
Posted: April 11, 2023 at 10:13 AM (Tuesday)

During the pandemic, 43 states reduced taxes in some way, including Ohio. The Buckeye state consolidated tax brackets and cut its top marginal rate. Now, Ohio policymakers are considering another round of tax reforms that would create one flat income tax rate and reduce state subsidies to local governments. These reforms would improve Ohio's ...


Adam Millsap: Bad Economic Policies Are One Reason People Are Leaving Blue States
Posted: February 14, 2023 at 09:08 AM (Tuesday)

One way to tell if a place is doing well is population growth. A city or state that is growing must be doing something right since people are choosing to move there. Similarly, a place that is shrinking must have some problems since people feel they need to uproot their lives to achieve their goals. The latest U.S. migration data show that ...


Adam Millsap: If There Is A Recession In 2023, Some Cities Could Take A Decade To Recover
Posted: January 11, 2023 at 04:16 PM (Wednesday)

The Fed's efforts to slow inflation seem to be working, at least a little bit. The labor market is cooling down, putting less pressure on wages, while housing prices and new construction have both declined. Unfortunately, this slowdown in economic activity will likely come with a cost: According to Bloomberg's December 2022 survey of ...


Adam Millsap: Mining Industry Boosts Third Quarter Economic Growth In Several States
Posted: December 23, 2022 at 11:59 AM (Friday)

Many economists are predicting a recession in 2023 due to the Fed's rate hikes to slow inflation, less fiscal stimulus, and weaker consumer spending abroad that will decrease U.S. exports. But for now, economic growth remains positive. Third-quarter U.S. real GDP growth was revised up to 3.2% in the latest estimate from the Bureau of ...


Adam Millsap: Some Simple Ways To Improve Regulation And Boost Economic Growth
Posted: December 9, 2022 at 08:32 AM (Friday)

Nearly halfway through his first term, President Biden has imposed considerably more regulatory costs and paperwork hours than Obama or Trump at similar points in their presidencies. Despite Biden's barrage of red tape, the economy has managed to slowly chug along. But now the labor market is weakening and the chance of a recession is ...


Adam Millsap: Florida, New Hampshire, And South Dakota Top Latest Economic Freedom Index
Posted: November 18, 2022 at 12:30 PM (Friday)

Economic freedom is vital for economic growth. If government makes it difficult for people to start businesses, choose their own work arrangements, or invest in companies, economic growth will stagnate. According to a new study, Florida, New Hampshire, and South Dakota provide the most economic freedom to their residents. For the last 18 ...


Adam Millsap: Expanding Public-Sector Collective Bargaining In Illinois Would Restrict Worker Freedom And Increase The Cost Of Government
Posted: November 5, 2022 at 10:01 AM (Saturday)

Several issues are on state ballots next week, including gun control laws, tax increases, cannabis legalization, and alcohol delivery. In Illinois, residents will vote on Amendment 1 to decide what matters will fall under the scope of public-sector collective bargaining. Expanding the scope of collective bargaining would undermine worker ...


Adam Millsap: An Abundance Agenda For America
Posted: October 28, 2022 at 03:49 PM (Friday)

Third quarter GDP growth came in at 2.6%, reversing GDP declines in the first and second quarters, but there are still signs of economic weakness. Sales to U.S. consumers continue to slow, inflation remains high, and over the next decade the Congressional Budget Office predicts real GDP growth to average less than 2% per year. A struggling ...


Adam Millsap: California’s $1.7 Million Toilet Is Why We Can’t Have Nice Things
Posted: October 25, 2022 at 08:26 AM (Tuesday)

Las November, President Biden signed the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (IIJA) that included $550 billion in new spending on everything from roads and bridges to broadband. Supporters of the IIJA argued America's infrastructure is badly in need of new investment. While the need for more investment is debatable, a $1.7 million toilet ...


Adam Millsap: Hospital Productivity Growth Is Flatlining But More Competition Would Revive It
Posted: October 20, 2022 at 10:00 AM (Thursday)

The key to economic progress is labor productivity growth–producing more stuff with the same (or fewer) number of workers. Unfortunately, America's labor productivity growth has been weak for several years. Nowhere is America's weak productivity growth more apparent than in the hospital industry. There are several policy reforms that would ...


Adam Millsap: Permitting Reform Needed At Every Level Of Government
Posted: September 21, 2022 at 02:02 PM (Wednesday)

It is way too difficult to build things in America, and politicians from both parties know it. In return for Senator Joe Manchin's (WV) support of the poorly named Inflation Reduction Act, Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (NY) promised Manchin a vote on a federal permitting reform bill by the end of September. Meanwhile, Manchin's ...


Adam Millsap: The Federal Reserve’s Rate Hikes Are Cooling The Housing Market But Land-Use Reforms Still Needed
Posted: September 13, 2022 at 09:29 AM (Tuesday)

Since the spring of 2022, the Fed's federal funds rate target–which is the interest rate banks charge one another for overnight loans–has increased to 2.5%, up from 0.25% in February. The Fed's actions have increased interest rates on everything from credit cards to mortgages. The higher mortgage rates are starting to bring down prices, but ...


Adam Millsap: Biden’s Economic Agenda Is The Most Anti-Growth Of The Last 40 Years
Posted: August 26, 2022 at 11:05 AM (Friday)

U.S. economic growth has declined the past two quarters, a sign that a recession is around the corner. But even without a new recession, U.S. economic growth is stuck in a rut and President Biden’s agenda is making it harder for us to get out. In an important piece in City Journal, James Pierson notes how real GDP growth has slowed over the ...


Adam Millsap: Inflation Still High And Biden’s Policies Are Not Helping
Posted: August 10, 2022 at 12:48 PM (Wednesday)

Inflation is up 8.5% since this time last year according to this morning's CPI report. Economists expected the CPI to increase by 8.7%. Continued high inflation is lowering real earnings and undermining consumer confidence. The Federal Reserve has the biggest role to play in combatting high inflation, but better economic policies from ...


Adam Millsap: Inflation Reduction Act Won’t Help West Virginia
Posted: August 4, 2022 at 02:39 PM (Thursday)

Senators Joe Manchin (WV) and Chuck Schumer (NY) recently agreed to a slimmed down version of the failed Build Back Better plan they are calling the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA). Manchin and other proponents of the IRA argue it will boost economic growth and reduce inflation, but this is unlikely, especially in states like West Virginia that ...


Adam Millsap: Recession Fears Are Top Of Mind, But We Should Be More Worried About America’s Weak Economic Growth
Posted: July 13, 2022 at 09:04 AM (Wednesday)

New data show that inflation remains high—up 9.1% over the last 12 months—and economic growth is slowing, so naturally talk of recession is filling the air. The ups and downs of the business cycle have real consequences, so concerns about a looming recession are understandable. But over decades, economic growth, not the business cycle, ...


Adam Millsap: The Country May Be Close To A Recession, But These States Are Still Growing
Posted: June 30, 2022 at 12:05 PM (Thursday)

A recent report from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) showed that national GDP shrank at an annualized rate of 1.6% in the first quarter, more than previously thought. New data released today, however, shows that some states experienced economic growth over the same period. The country may be teetering on the edge of a recession, but ...


Adam Millsap: These Reforms Would Increase Economic Growth And Help Alleviate Inflation
Posted: June 10, 2022 at 02:58 PM (Friday)

The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) report is in, and it is not good. Inflation rose by 1% in May and 8.6% over the last 12 months. Both are increases from April, meaning inflation does not seem to be slowing down. The Federal Reserve has increased interest rates to combat inflation, which is appropriate, but more can be done despite ...


Adam Millsap: Ukraine Reminds Us Of The Many Benefits Of Economic Freedom
Posted: June 6, 2022 at 08:30 AM (Monday)

Ukraine and Russia have been fighting for over 100 days now. Political leaders such as President Joe Biden have called the conflict a battle between "democracy and autocracy, between liberty and repression, between a rules-based order and one governed by brute force". President Biden is right to praise representative government, liberty, and ...


Adam Millsap: America’s Ports Lag Behind According To New Index, Which Means Higher Prices
Posted: May 27, 2022 at 08:20 AM (Friday)

Inflation is still pounding consumers' wallets. The Consumer Price Index is up 8.3% over the last 12 months while the Producer Price Index–the selling prices domestic producers receive–is up 11%. Across the country, the price of gas hits a new high every day. In California the average price is above $6 per gallon. Inflation is exacerbated ...


Adam Millsap: California’s Energy Policy Shows Us What Not To Do
Posted: May 12, 2022 at 08:29 AM (Thursday)

Energy prices in America are on a tear. Energy inflation was 30% over the previous 12 months and U.S. retail gasoline prices hit a new high of $4.37 per gallon this week. Gasoline futures are up 9.4% since March, a signal that prices are unlikely to fall soon. Electricity prices are rising nationwide as the price of natural gas increases ...


Adam Millsap: Europe Needs Natural Gas And America Could Help—If We Could Get Out Of Our Own Way
Posted: May 2, 2022 at 07:43 AM (Monday)

Last week, Russia began enforcing its demand that European Union (EU) countries pay for Russian natural gas in rubles. Poland and Bulgaria were the first countries to have their Russian gas supplies halted, but they may not be the last: The European Commission reiterated that payments in rubles violate the economic sanctions placed on Russia. ...


Adam Millsap: How Businesses Are Solving America’s Healthcare Problems
Posted: April 22, 2022 at 11:31 AM (Friday)

The pandemic brought some much-needed changes to our healthcare system. Telehealth finally caught on after Congress loosened restrictions that had hampered it. Nurses are being recognized for their hard work as some states, such as New York, grant them full practice authority. Both pandemic-induced changes should make healthcare more ...


Adam Millsap: The Hidden Costs Of Inflation Are Coming
Posted: April 13, 2022 at 08:20 AM (Wednesday)

The latest inflation numbers are out and they are as bad as people predicted. The Consumer Price Index for all Urban Consumers (CPI-U) rose 1.2% in March and is up 8.5% over the last 12 months. The price of gasoline is on a tear, as it rose by 18.3% last month. Price increases at the pump and grocery store are easy for people to notice and ...


Adam Millsap: We Are Seeing Why A Politicized Federal Reserve Is Bad For The Economy
Posted: April 8, 2022 at 11:16 AM (Friday)

The U.S. labor market is doing fairly well despite the war in Ukraine and the lingering presence of Covid-19. The recent jobs report showed payrolls grew by 431,000 while the unemployment rate fell to 3.6%, only slightly above the pre-pandemic 3.5% rate. But there's a looming problem, too–inflation. The Fed has been acting more political ...


Adam Millsap: "Buy American" Rules Hurt More Than They Help
Posted: March 23, 2022 at 09:00 AM (Wednesday)

International trade has made the world wealthier and freer, but its popularity is waning in some circles. Supply chain disruptions due to the Covid-19 pandemic and Russia's invasion of Ukraine have caused many Americans to look inward, arguing for new policies to incentivize domestic production. A proposed bill in Florida, HB 619, would ...


Adam Millsap: Energy Abundance Is Possible And Europe Shows Us Why It Is Necessary
Posted: March 3, 2022 at 02:00 PM (Thursday)

At 7.5%, the inflation rate is the highest it has been since the early 1980s. One of the biggest drivers of inflation is the rising cost of energy. The price of gasoline is up more than 40% since January of 2021, while fuel oil is up 47% and electricity is up 11%. Russia's illicit invasion of Ukraine will only exacerbate these higher costs. But ...


Adam Millsap: Governors Cannot Stop Inflation, But Tax And Regulatory Reform Will Boost Their States’ Economies
Posted: February 23, 2022 at 08:12 AM (Wednesday)

Inflation is hot, hot, hot. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) was up 7.5% over the last year, the highest one-year jump since the early 1980s. Governors around the country are throwing out ideas to try to provide voters some relief, including one-time $500 checks and eliminating grocery taxes. These efforts are well-meaning, but they will not ...


Adam Millsap: New Report Explains How Cities Can Cut Red Tape To Empower Entrepreneurs
Posted: February 11, 2022 at 10:32 AM (Friday)

Covid-19 did a number on America's small businesses, especially early in the pandemic. Now, the economy is bouncing back as the omicron outbreak subsides, and both consumers and businesses are optimistic that better days are ahead. While the pandemic-related hurdles businesses face are falling, the older hurdles that make life difficult ...


Adam Millsap: Continuing Resolutions And Implementation Problems Delay Infrastructure Spending
Posted: February 8, 2022 at 11:40 AM (Tuesday)

President Biden's misguided Build Back Better plan is on life support, so lately his administration has pivoted to touting the $1.2 trillion Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (IIJA), aka the infrastructure bill. Public officials at all levels of government are understandably excited about all the ribbon-cutting ceremonies they will get ...


Adam Millsap: More Covid-Related Federal Spending Is Unnecessary And Irresponsible
Posted: January 10, 2022 at 01:51 PM (Monday)

Covid-19 cases are rising as the omicron variant spreads, along with renewed talk of more federal spending to help the economy. Restaurants recently sent a letter to Congress requesting more federal aid and some members are open to sending more money to businesses hit hardest by Covid-19, such as gyms, restaurants, and performance venues. ...


Adam Millsap: As We Head Into 2022, Employment In These States Has Recovered
Posted: December 18, 2021 at 10:01 AM (Saturday)

Almost two years later, Covid-19 continues to disrupt our lives. Since the pandemic started, states have implemented different policies in response to Covid-19. Mask mandates, bans on large events, school closures, and vaccine requirements have all varied across states. Yet despite the disruptive effects of the virus and state policies aimed ...


Adam Millsap: Build Back Better Plan Exacerbates Unfairness In Federal Hospital Funding
Posted: December 10, 2021 at 09:52 AM (Friday)

President Biden's Build Back Better (BBB) plan passed in the House but remains controversial in the Senate, and for good reason: It would reduce economic growth, expand federal government and harm the states, and increase the federal debt. It is also filled with unfair spending policies, such as cuts in federal funding to hospitals in states ...


Adam Millsap: This Thanksgiving, Give Thanks For Economic Freedom
Posted: November 22, 2021 at 10:08 AM (Monday)

Thanksgiving is a time to gather with family and friends, eat delicious food, and watch football. It is also a time to reflect and give thanks for the many things that make our lives better. One of those things is economic freedom, and while its popularity is waning among younger generations, the empirical evidence is clear: More economic ...


Adam Millsap: The Latest Build Back Better Plan Won’t Improve The Economy
Posted: November 8, 2021 at 09:34 AM (Monday)

Last Friday, the House passed the $1.2 trillion Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (IIJA). The Senate passed the bill over the summer so now it goes to President Biden for his signature. With the infrastructure bill done, the focus shifts to the other piece of Biden's agenda, the reconciliation bill, also known as the Build Back Better ...


Adam Millsap: Virtual World Will Surpass Real World If We Don’t Do Something About It
Posted: October 8, 2021 at 11:01 AM (Friday)

Today the BLS announced only 194,000 jobs were created in September, far below expectations. There are still over ten million unfilled jobs across the country, while the total number of employees remains about five million lower than in February 2020. Some of this labor gap will shrink over time as Covid-19 subsides, but there are ...


Adam Millsap: When It Comes To The Infrastructure Bill, Don’t Believe The Hype
Posted: September 24, 2021 at 07:48 AM (Friday)

Back in August the U.S. Senate passed a $1.2 trillion infrastructure package. It contains significant spending on things typically not considered infrastructure–electric vehicles, broadband, abandoned mines–but if you squint you can see some spending on roads and bridges. It's unclear whether the bill will make it to the President's desk, but ...


Adam Millsap: Unemployment Bonuses Slowed Labor Market Recovery
Posted: September 9, 2021 at 10:59 AM (Thursday)

The August jobs report was disappointing: over 700,000 jobs were expected, but only 235,000 were created. The total number of people employed is still about five million lower than in February 2020 yet demand for workers is high–there are currently 1.3 job openings for each unemployed worker. Several factors are contributing to the slow ...


Adam Millsap: Businesses Are Fleeing California Along With Its Residents, And President Biden Should Pay Attention
Posted: August 27, 2021 at 07:54 AM (Friday)

Last year, California's population decreased for the first time in recorded history and it lost a congressional seat. The state is starting to develop two-tiered society, with higher-income, educated tech workers clustering in the major coastal cities while lower-income, less-educated workers are relegated to the interior of the state or ...


Adam Millsap: Certificate Of Need Regulations Cost Lives
Posted: August 20, 2021 at 11:57 AM (Friday)

ICU beds are in short supply in many states as the delta variant of the SARS-CoV-2 virus makes its way through the country. Alabama has reportedly run out of ICU beds, while states such as Georgia, Florida, and Kentucky have occupancy rates over 90%. While extreme events like pandemics will always stress hospital resources, regulations ...


Adam Millsap: The High Costs Of Too Much Government Spending
Posted: August 6, 2021 at 02:54 PM (Friday)

America is engaging in an unprecedented spending spree. The Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget estimates that the infrastructure proposal and the proposed $3.5 trillion reconciliation spending plan will result in $2.9 trillion (about $8,900 per person) of additional government borrowing over the next decade. This debt will not solve ...


Adam Millsap: Worried About High Prices? Blame Public Policies That Stifle Innovation
Posted: July 27, 2021 at 10:22 AM (Tuesday)

Prices are going up. The year-over-year consumer price index (CPI) hit 5.4% in June, which is more than forecasters expected. Even when food and energy are removed, prices are up by 4.5% over the last 12 months, meaning everyone's dollars buy less stuff. Increases in demand and higher costs are two common reasons prices rise. Public policy ...


Adam Millsap: Eliminating Its Income Tax Will Help Arkansas’s Economy
Posted: July 9, 2021 at 09:32 AM (Friday)

Getting tax policy right is important. Some taxes are necessary, but how a government raises tax revenue matters since taxes affect behavior. Income taxes are a common source of revenue, but taxing income causes people to work and save less, which reduces economic growth. Recognizing this, some people in Arkansas want to eliminate the ...


Adam Millsap: Progress On Poverty Will Remain Elusive Until People Are Free To Succeed
Posted: June 28, 2021 at 10:28 AM (Monday)

The economy is getting stronger by the day, but that does not mean all is well. Prior to the pandemic, a tight labor market and robust wage growth had reduced the official poverty rate to 10.5%, the lowest rate on record. This was good news, but even 10% seems high. To reduce poverty even further, we need to unleash the potential of our ...


Adam Millsap: A Stronger Economic Recovery Is Within Reach, But Public Policy Is Holding It Back
Posted: June 9, 2021 at 09:47 AM (Wednesday)

In some ways the U.S. economy has already recovered from the pandemic. Real GDP is nearly back to where it was in the fourth quarter of 2019 and should surpass that mark when the next reading comes out in a few months. Consumers are also spending money, with personal consumption expenditures actually higher now than pre-pandemic. The labor ...


Adam Millsap: States Can Drive Innovation And Economic Growth, But They Can’t Do It Alone
Posted: May 25, 2021 at 11:35 AM (Tuesday)

It is no secret that U.S. economic growth was weak for most of the past two decades. Recovery from the dot-com bubble and the financial crisis was slow, and it was not until just before the pandemic that wage growth accelerated. Now, just when things are starting to open up, federal policy is on the verge of taking the wind out of the ...


Adam Millsap: Public Policy Is Hindering Labor Market Recovery
Posted: May 14, 2021 at 08:59 AM (Friday)

The April jobs report was a disappointment. Prognosticators expected a gain of over one million jobs in April but only 266,000 new jobs were created according to the BLS. Issues such as continued anxiety about the virus and a lack of childcare options are likely part of the cause, but policy matters, too. Labor markets in states with ...


Adam Millsap: Higher Corporate Taxes Affect Everyone
Posted: April 28, 2021 at 09:05 AM (Wednesday)

President Biden's recent infrastructure proposal has a $2 trillion plus price tag and he's looking for a way to pay for at least some it. During his campaign, President Biden said he would not raise taxes on anyone earning less than $400,000 per year. Since direct tax increases on most people would break his campaign promise, Biden is ...


Adam Millsap: Biden’s High-Speed Rail To Nowhere
Posted: April 15, 2021 at 09:04 AM (Thursday)

President Joe Biden recently released plans for a $2.3 trillion dollar "infrastructure" bill that wants taxpayer dollars for all manner of things—regional innovation hubs, climate change research, workforce training programs, home care services for the elderly, and public housing. If you squint, you can see some money for what most people think ...


Adam Millsap: Pro-Growth Policies Will Help Local Governments Attract People Working From Home
Posted: March 25, 2021 at 08:50 AM (Thursday)

Covid-19's impact on the labor market is still unfolding, but one of its biggest impacts so far has been on where people work. Prior to the pandemic, only about 5% of Americans typically worked from home. By the summer of 2020, 42% of the labor force was working from home full-time and many people still are. This new ability to work from home ...


Adam Millsap: Cities Should Think Twice About Expanding Historic Districts
Posted: March 17, 2021 at 08:05 AM (Wednesday)

Last month, the city of Providence, Rhode Island considered an expansion of a historic overlay district near Brown University. Fortunately, the committee decided to delay the expansion to study the issue further. If used appropriately, historic designations can protect significant historical buildings and foster an appreciation for the past. ...


Adam Millsap: Home Businesses Poised To Boom If Government Gets Out Of The Way
Posted: March 8, 2021 at 08:52 AM (Monday)

As spring approaches, things are looking up. The economy continues to improve and the Biden administration recently announced there will be enough vaccines for every adult in America by May. Some states are so excited to get back to normal that they are lifting mask mandates and allowing businesses to open to capacity. But while economists ...


Adam Millsap: Getting America Back To Work
Posted: February 22, 2021 at 09:00 AM (Monday)

Covid-19 has shaken up the country's labor market, accelerating trends already underway before the pandemic. Social distancing and other measures taken to mitigate the crisis weakened demand for restaurants, bars, hotels, in-person shopping, airlines, and other businesses that rely on face-to-face contact. While demand for these businesses ...


Adam Millsap: PRO Act Will Harm, Not Help, Workers
Posted: January 27, 2021 at 01:52 PM (Wednesday)

President Biden has advocated for organized labor throughout his political career. During the most recent election, he expressed his support for the Protecting the Right to Organize (PRO) Act, which would ban state right-to-work laws, require employers to provide employees' personal information to union leadership prior to union ...


Adam Millsap: Rethinking The Social Safety Net
Posted: January 14, 2021 at 09:52 AM (Thursday)

It is time to rethink America's social safety net. Not because it is broken, but because it is working all too well. The current safety net does what it was designed to do, namely make poverty easier to endure rather than easier to escape. A social safety net that discarded the current patchwork of government programs and instead provided a ...


Adam Millsap: How To Recover Stronger In 2021
Posted: December 19, 2020 at 10:00 AM (Saturday)

2021 is right around the corner, and I think most of us are ready for it. The nearly 11 year economic expansion that began in June of 2009 ended in 2020 as state and local governments across the country shut down their local economies in an effort to combat Covid-19. Since employment hit its low point in April it has been steadily bouncing ...


Adam Millsap: Independent Contracting Is Vital To U.S. Economy
Posted: December 10, 2020 at 08:35 AM (Thursday)

California's overbearing AB5 law that prevents people from earning a living as independent contractors took a major blow in November when the state's voters chose to exempt drivers for ride-sharing companies Uber and Lyft, the original targets of the law, along with other gig-economy workers. Unfortunately, many other workers remain under the ...


Adam Millsap: Some Reasons To Be Thankful This Thanksgiving
Posted: November 24, 2020 at 04:10 PM (Tuesday)

Thanksgiving is here! Unfortunately, a time traditionally spent surrounded by family, friends, and lots of turkey is mired by the continuing pandemic. The recent increase in cases has caused many people to curtail their travel plans and some state and local governments are reimposing restrictions not seen since the spring. But Thanksgiving is ...


Adam Millsap: Small Businesses Need Access To Capital To Drive Recovery
Posted: October 6, 2020 at 09:39 AM (Tuesday)

The October jobs report showed another gain of 661,000 jobs in September and the unemployment rate fell to 7.9%. Still, the increase wasn’t as strong as expected and the economy remains a long way from full strength—only about half of the jobs lost in March and April have returned, with city centers bearing the brunt of the losses. ...


Adam Millsap: Upskilling Workers For The Post-Pandemic Economy
Posted: September 4, 2020 at 10:38 AM (Friday)

The economy is slowly improving but the damage has been done, and Fall could bring more. Across the United States, nearly 15 million people are still receiving unemployment assistance as a result of Covid-19 and the associated government restrictions on the economy. The pandemic has permanently altered the labor market and many people ...


Adam Millsap: What Utah Can Teach Other States About Surviving A Recession
Posted: August 27, 2020 at 08:49 AM (Thursday)

Covid-19 and accompanying government restrictions meant to slow its spread have drastically reduced economic activity. Government budgets are also taking a hit since less people working and buying things means lower tax revenue. One recent study estimates that total state tax revenue will fall by $80 billion to $125 billion this year. ...


Adam Millsap: Tax Hikes Reduce Innovation And Could Delay Recovery
Posted: August 10, 2020 at 03:27 PM (Monday)

The U.S. economy is hurting—GDP is estimated to have fallen by nearly 10% in the second quarter. This decline isn’t surprising since large portions of states’ economies have been shut down for months due to the pandemic, but it has worsened the country’s and states’ already bleak fiscal situations. Understanding the damage is important, but ...


Adam Millsap: California Begins Battle Against Independent Contractors, Gig Economy
Posted: July 24, 2020 at 08:57 AM (Friday)

Last week it was reported that the California Labor Commissioner’s office sued its first company to enforce Assembly Bill 5 (AB5), the state’s 2018 law that requires a three part test to determine whether a worker is allowed to be an independent contractor. AB5 has caused thousands of independent contractors throughout California to lose ...


Adam Millsap: Zoning Reform Is Needed Post Covid-19
Posted: July 1, 2020 at 09:26 AM (Wednesday)

The economic lockdowns related to Covid-19 have devastated America’s economy. Over 20 million people are still receiving unemployment benefits. The United States is officially in a recession and the IMF projects global economic output to decline by 5% in 2020. Some are arguing for more government spending and intervention to prop up the ...


Adam Millsap: America Needs Smarter Infrastructure Spending, Not More
Posted: June 19, 2020 at 11:19 AM (Friday)

Building and maintaining infrastructure—roads, bridges, sewage systems, water pipes—has long been viewed as a core function of government, and politicians on both sides of the aisle regularly advocate for more infrastructure spending. The Trump administration is reportedly preparing a $1 trillion dollar infrastructure spending plan, ...


Adam Millsap: Occupational Licensing, Zoning, And Other Regulations Will Delay Recovery From COVID-19
Posted: May 18, 2020 at 09:44 AM (Monday)

The economy has taken a big hit from COVID-19. Since social distancing and government mandated shutdowns began in March, more than 29 million people have filed for unemployment insurance. The April unemployment rate was 14.7%, more than four times larger than the February rate. New research suggests the labor market is undergoing ...


Adam Millsap: More Federal Money To States Isn’t The Solution
Posted: May 11, 2020 at 08:36 AM (Monday)

Many state and local officials are asking the federal government for more money to deal with the economic downturn connected to COVID-19. With government revenues falling, they argue that without federal assistance they may have to cut personnel, such as police and firefighters, or scale back other public services. Significant decreases in ...


Adam Millsap: We Need More Flexible And Resilient State Economies Post COVID-19
Posted: April 21, 2020 at 08:44 AM (Tuesday)

As the COVID-19 situation stabilizes in many states, at least temporarily, state and local officials are beginning to form plans for relaxing the restrictions on their economies. While the details of these plans will vary from place to place, state and local governments everywhere must improve their fiscal situations and make their economies ...


Adam Millsap: How The Size Of Cities Helps Explain The Spread Of COVID-19
Posted: April 6, 2020 at 09:13 AM (Monday)

As of April 5th, there were over 335,000 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in the United States. New York has experienced the worst outbreak, and a recent analysis suggests that’s not surprising. COVID-19 appears to be primarily spread by person-to-person contact, so states with large cities and labor markets that facilitate the mixing of people ...


Adam Millsap: Even After COVID-19, Budget Problems Will Persist For Many States
Posted: March 26, 2020 at 08:46 AM (Thursday)

The economic slowdown caused by COVID-19 presents an immediate challenge for state and local governments. Many of them only recently regained their footing following the last recession, and now, with conventions and sporting events postponed, businesses temporarily closed, and consumers staying home, government revenues are projected to fall ...


Adam Millsap: Let’s Unrig Our Economy
Posted: February 13, 2020 at 08:46 AM (Thursday)

Cronyism is a real drag on the U.S. economy. Some people blame “big business” for seeking favorable treatment, while others put the blame on opportunistic government officials looking to win votes. The truth is both sides are responsible for perpetuating the cronyism that undermines competition and rigs the economy against consumers. Cronyism ...


Adam Millsap: Medicaid Spending Is Taking Over State Budgets
Posted: January 23, 2020 at 08:32 AM (Thursday)

Health care in the United States is expensive. Health insurance premiums and out-of-pocket costs continue to rise, driven largely by higher prices at hospitals and other health care providers. The costs of the two big government programs—Medicaid for lower-income people and Medicare for the elderly—also continue to rise. Recent research from ...


Adam Millsap: More Evidence Local Tax Incentives Don’t Spur Development
Posted: January 7, 2020 at 05:20 PM (Tuesday)

State and local governments often use firm or industry-specific tax incentives in attempts to improve their economies. Several studies that examine the effects of narrow tax breaks and subsidies—including movie production subsidies, stadium subsidies, enterprise zones, and others—find that while tax breaks often help the firms or industries ...


Adam Millsap: Is It Time To Take Highways Out Of Cities?
Posted: November 21, 2019 at 09:43 AM (Thursday)

The interstate highway system is over 50 years old and many portions of the system need repairs or upgrades. As we debate the future of the interstate highway system in light of advances in smart infrastructure and autonomous and electric vehicles, it’s worth considering whether some portions of the system should be removed, especially ...


Adam Millsap: Right-To-Work Laws Are Good For Workers
Posted: October 23, 2019 at 02:17 PM (Wednesday)

There’s evidence that wealth inequality is increasing, and some politicians are using this evidence as a justification for revitalizing labor unions. Many Democratic presidential candidates support the Protecting the Right to Organize (PRO) Act, which would ban state right-to-work laws that currently prevent unions and employers from ...


Adam Millsap: The U.S. Labor Market Is Still Growing But These Areas Are Struggling
Posted: October 4, 2019 at 01:18 PM (Friday)

The country is still adding jobs, though at a slower pace than last year. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported an increase of 136,000 jobs in September and a decline in the U.S. unemployment rate from 3.7% to 3.5%. The national jobs report, however, hides a lot of labor market variation at the state and local level. Some local ...


Adam Millsap: The United States Doesn’t Need the Export-Import Bank To Thrive
Posted: September 18, 2019 at 09:57 AM (Wednesday)

America has a corporate welfare problem. State and local governments all over the country give special treatment to select companies in the form of grants and tax breaks, eroding the spirit of fair competition that is the foundation of the free enterprise system. The Export-Import Bank (EXIM Bank) is just one example of the federal ...


Adam Millsap: How To Generate More Innovation In America
Posted: August 16, 2019 at 09:00 AM (Friday)

Despite what we often hear, the world is getting better. On a global scale, there’s less poverty, less income inequality, and people have more opportunity than ever before. Yet there’s also reason for concern. Since the early 2000s productivity growth has slowed in many wealthier countries which means living standards aren’t improving as fast ...


Adam Millsap: We Need More Competition And Innovation To Bring Healthcare Costs Down
Posted: June 30, 2019 at 06:22 PM (Sunday)

Many of the 2020 Democratic presidential candidates—including Senators Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) and Bernie Sanders (D-VT)—support some type of federal single-payer health insurance program, often referred to as “Medicare for all” in reference to the current federal program covering older Americans. These candidates and their supporters claim such ...


Adam Millsap: Price Controls Are Harmful And Their Supporters Know It
Posted: June 27, 2019 at 02:26 PM (Thursday)

Price controls cause serious problems but that doesn’t stop politicians from proposing them. The minimum wage—which is a control on wages—has been in the news for years and recently rent control and interest rate caps on credit cards have joined it in the headlines. Proponents of price controls claim they help, but a closer look shows that ...


Adam Millsap: How The Minimum Wage Hurts Entire Neighborhoods
Posted: May 23, 2019 at 08:56 AM (Thursday)

There is a lot of debate around the minimum wage. Some see it as a fairly straightforward way to help low-income workers. Others emphasize the negative effect it has on employment. Fewer employment opportunities are bad in their own right, but the harmful effects of minimum wage increases are likely spilling over to entire neighborhoods. There ...


Adam Millsap: How Political Capitalism Helps Explain Zoning
Posted: March 19, 2019 at 01:50 PM (Tuesday)

Local zoning policy in America is dreadful. There’s robust evidence it increases housing prices by restricting supply, making many cities unlivable for people with low or modest incomes. Yet despite rampant criticism, restrictive zoning persists. A new book that analyzes collusion between the economic and political elite helps explain ...


Adam Millsap: Green New Deal's Plan For Planes, Trains, And Automobiles Won't Work
Posted: February 9, 2019 at 09:14 AM (Saturday)

Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) and Sen. Ed Markey (D-MA) recently introduced a Green New Deal resolution (earlier draft here) that calls for a host of policies, including free education, guaranteed jobs, and a nationwide mandate for 100% renewable energy, all within a 10-year plan. All of this may sound great, but like many grand ...


Adam Millsap: How Blockchain Technology Can Improve America's Infrastructure
Posted: January 20, 2019 at 09:36 AM (Sunday)

America’s infrastructure is often described as crumbling, broken-down, and out-of-date by politicians from both sides. While the reality isn’t so dire, there are obvious infrastructure issues throughout the country, such as New York’s subway, D.C.’s metro, and almost any road in Michigan.
So even though the country’s infrastructure is not as ...


Adam Millsap: Profits drive employment, not the other way around
Posted: January 4, 2016 at 11:32 PM (Monday)

The most recent U.S. employment report shows that 211,000 jobs were created in November, extending the current streak of job creation to its 69th month. Among politicians — both those in office and those who wish to be — the number of jobs created has become the most important statistic of the current economic recovery.For example, ...

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