'Carpe Diem, Quam Minimum Credula Postero'

'Seize the day, Trusting as little as possible in the future'


Recent Stories
Louis Gerstner: Remote Work Is a Leadership Killer

04/25/24 01:17PM - There’s no way of learning to manage people other than by direct observation of those who do it well. It is time to deflate the hot-air balloon known as remote work. We have lurched, in an almost lemming-like way, from a view that work is done …more…

Conor Sen: Housing Will Get More Expensive Because of the Fed

04/25/24 06:30AM - The only way to address the primary driver of high shelter costs is to build more apartments and houses. High interest rates prevent that. It may seem counterintuitive to suggest that today’s high interest rates will fuel shelter inflation down …more…

Patrick Horan: Why Trump’s Dollar-Devaluation Scheme Is a Bad Idea

04/25/24 06:30AM - It would make imports more expensive and inflation harder to control, and it wouldn't promote exports as well as other policy options. According to Politico, the details have not been fully worked out. However, possible tactics include weakening …more…

Veronique de Rugy: Congress Yet Again Abuses 'Emergency Spending' for Non-Emergency Purposes

04/25/24 12:01AM - Let's just call this what it is another gimmick for Congress to escape its own budget limits and avoid having a conversation about tradeoffs. This week, Congress moved closer to passing four separate bills with $95 billion in funding for …more…

Jim Tankersley and Jeanna Smialek: High Borrowing Costs Have Some Democrats Urging Biden to Pressure the Fed

04/24/24 05:04AM - Polls show voters are angry about costs, like mortgages, and worried they will stay high if the president wins re-election. Sky-high mortgage rates and other elevated borrowing costs are pinching American consumers ahead of the 2024 …more…

William Dunkelberg: Small Business Birth Levels Remain In The Stratosphere

04/23/24 03:21PM - Small businesses (under 500 employees) are the backbone of the U.S. economy, accounting for nearly all U.S. businesses and almost half (45.9%) of U.S. private sector employees.1 Business formations (or legal births) are a helpful indicator of …more…

Economic Results
Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Activity Fell Again in April 2024

04/25/24 11:00AM - The month-over-month composite index was -8 in April, down from -7 in March and -4 in February. The composite index is an average of the production, new orders, employment, supplier delivery time, and raw materials inventory indexes. …more…

Pending Home Sales increased 3.4% in March 2024

04/25/24 10:00AM - Pending home sales in March climbed 3.4%, according to the National Association of REALTORS®. The Northeast, South and West posted monthly gains in transactions while the Midwest recorded a loss. Year-over-year, the Northeast and South …more…

1Q2024 GDP advance estimate increased 1.6%

04/25/24 08:30AM - Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 1.6 percent in the first quarter of 2024 (table 1), according to the "advance" estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the fourth quarter of 2023, real GDP …more…

Philadelphia Fed NonManufacturing Survey suggest activity declined in April 2024

04/25/24 08:30AM - Nonmanufacturing activity in the region expanded overall this month, according to the firms responding to the April Nonmanufacturing Business Outlook Survey. The indexes for general activity at the firm level, new orders, and sales/revenues were …more…

Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims Decrease 5,000 to 207,000

04/25/24 08:30AM - In the week ending April 20, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 207,000, a decrease of 5,000
from the previous week's unrevised level of 212,000. The 4-week moving average was 213,250, a decrease of 1,250 from
the …more…

March 2024 New Orders for Durable Goods increased 2.6%, Ex-Trans up 0.2%

04/24/24 08:30AM - New Orders
New orders for manufactured durable goods in March, up two consecutive months, increased $7.3 billion or 2.6 percent to $283.4 billion, the U.S. Census Bureau announced today. This followed a 0.7 percent February increase. …more…

Purchase Apps down, Refi's down in Latest MBA Weekly Survey

04/24/24 07:00AM - Mortgage applications decreased 2.7 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending April 19, 2024. The Market Composite Index, a measure …more…